Following the discussion about old-growth forests and their ability to capture carbon dioxide (CO2), I shall now discuss afforestation as a potential solution for mitigating climate change. Afforestation is the establishment of a forest where previously there was no forest.
The study by Ornstein et al (2009) investigated the possibility of using the Sahara and the Australian Outback as areas for afforestation. The Sahara and Australian Outback are extremely dry and arid areas; therefore the forests would have to be irrigated. The possible water supplies considered were the groundwater because the Sahara has the largest store of groundwater. However, the groundwater would only be able to support the irrigated forest for a few years. They noted that the irrigation may only be required for the early establishment and afterwards biogeophysically-induced precipitation would be capable of supporting the forest. The study found that the amount of biogeophysically-induced precipitation would not be enough to support the forest especially if rainfall was seasonal.
Therefore desalination of sea water was found to be the most appropriate source of water for irrigation. The cost of which had dropped in 2008 to $0.53 per cubic meter of fresh water. Several other costs need to be considered when using desalination and irrigation systems such as distribution costs, cost of electricity, maintenance costs, construction costs, and the risk of leakage of sequestered CO2.
Ornstein et al (2009) find that afforestation of subtropical deserts sequesters 8 Gt C per year. However, they estimated that 8.8 Gt C per year is required to mitigate climate change and so this method cannot be the only method used. They argue that the costs involved with afforestation of subtropical deserts need to be weighed against potential costs of recovering from the impacts of global warming such as drought and flooding.
The article briefly mentions possible environmental issues with the afforestation of subtropical deserts but explains in details the economic costs. I think that there should be much more emphasis on these environmental issues. For example, a forest in the Sahara will dramatically reduce the dust content which is thought to suppress hurricanes that originate in the Atlantic. Therefore the hurricanes which hit the Gulf of Mexico could be stronger.
There is also the issue of the highly saline waste water from the desalination plants. The water would need to be diluted before being put back into the ocean so that the thermohaline circulation is not disrupted and hyper-saline anoxic areas are not created.
Fire is also another issue because the ground litter will be dry. Therefore investment in firebreaks would be necessary.
It is clear that more research is needed before this can ever be put into practice. Ornstein et al (2009) seem to be enthusiastic about this method of mitigation however even they recognise that more understanding about induced rainfall and climatic teleconnections are needed.
According to Ornstein et al (2009), afforestation on such a large scale will still not remove enough CO2 to halt global warming therefore maybe smaller scale projects could work in combination with other methods.
This video explains the afforestation project which is happening in China.
Ornstein, L, I. Aleinov, D. Rind (2009) 'Irrigated afforestation of the Sahara and Australian Outback to end global warming', Climatic Change, 97, pp. 409-437
DOI 10.1007/s10584-009-9626-y